My process included a few simple steps, such as:
1) Saving as much as possible ( in fact I am close to saving my entire after-tax paycheck this year)
2) Focusing only on companies with a track record of annual dividend increases ( dividend aristocrats, dividend champions, dividend achievers)
3) Narrowing my list further by focusing on companies with:
a) P/E below 20
b) Dividend Payout Ratios below 60% ( though different for REITs and MLPs)
c) Minimum dividend yields (since relaxed to above 1%)
4) Then reviewing trends in fundamentals for each candidate
a) Earnings per share that grow over the past decade
b) Dividend Payout Ratios that do not exceed 60%
c) Dividends Per Share that grow above 3%/year
d) Returns on Equity
5) After that, the goal was to buy and hold, without doing much. Trading too often usually leads to costly mistakes for the investor. Plus, it increases your investment costs as well.
I ran those criteria against the list of dividend champions on Friday, November 11. I eliminated companies that had not shown growth in earnings per share over the past decade, since those are unlikely to continue their streak of dividend increases over the next decade.
SYMBOL
|
Name
|
P/E
|
Dividend Yield
|
Dividend Per share
|
Earnings Per Share
|
Dividend Payout Rato
|
Stock Price
|
10 year Dividend Growth
|
AFL
|
11.51
|
2.37%
|
$ 1.72
|
$ 6.31
|
27%
|
$ 72.61
|
14%
|
|
BEN
|
12.66
|
1.93%
|
$ 0.72
|
$ 2.94
|
24%
|
$ 37.22
|
16%
|
|
BMS
|
Bemis Company
|
19.86
|
2.41%
|
$ 1.16
|
$ 2.42
|
48%
|
$ 48.05
|
5%
|
CBSH
|
Commerce Bancshares
|
20.82
|
1.63%
|
$ 0.90
|
$ 2.66
|
34%
|
$ 55.38
|
5%
|
CPKF
|
Chesapeake Financial Shares
|
13.19
|
2.37%
|
$ 0.50
|
$ 1.60
|
31%
|
$ 21.10
|
8%
|
CSVI
|
Computer Services Inc.
|
19.08
|
2.85%
|
$ 1.12
|
$ 2.06
|
54%
|
$ 39.30
|
16%
|
EV
|
18.39
|
2.93%
|
$ 1.12
|
$ 2.08
|
54%
|
$ 38.25
|
12%
|
|
GD
|
General Dynamics
|
18.05
|
1.80%
|
$ 3.04
|
$ 9.34
|
33%
|
$168.55
|
13%
|
GPC
|
20.44
|
2.78%
|
$ 2.63
|
$ 4.63
|
57%
|
$ 94.62
|
7%
|
|
GWW
|
19.57
|
2.15%
|
$ 4.88
|
$ 11.58
|
44%
|
$226.58
|
17%
|
|
JNJ
|
20.78
|
2.70%
|
$ 3.20
|
$ 5.70
|
56%
|
$118.47
|
9%
|
|
LEG
|
Leggett & Platt Inc.
|
18.78
|
2.84%
|
$ 1.36
|
$ 2.55
|
53%
|
$ 47.88
|
7%
|
RPM
|
RPM International Inc.
|
18.82
|
2.34%
|
$ 1.20
|
$ 2.73
|
44%
|
$ 51.39
|
6%
|
SCL
|
Stepan Company
|
20.02
|
1.06%
|
$ 0.82
|
$ 3.87
|
21%
|
$ 77.48
|
6%
|
SRCE
|
1st Source Corp.
|
18.39
|
1.80%
|
$ 0.72
|
$ 2.17
|
33%
|
$ 39.90
|
5%
|
SWK
|
Stanley Black & Decker
|
19.12
|
1.84%
|
$ 2.32
|
$ 6.58
|
35%
|
$125.78
|
7%
|
TGT
|
13.21
|
3.36%
|
$ 2.40
|
$ 5.40
|
44%
|
$ 71.35
|
20%
|
|
TMP
|
Tompkins Financial Corp.
|
20.74
|
2.30%
|
$ 1.80
|
$ 3.78
|
48%
|
$ 78.40
|
6%
|
TROW
|
15.91
|
3.06%
|
$ 2.16
|
$ 4.43
|
49%
|
$ 70.50
|
16%
|
|
UGI
|
UGI Corp.
|
20.34
|
2.25%
|
$ 0.95
|
$ 2.08
|
46%
|
$ 42.31
|
7%
|
This screen is not an automatic buy however. The investor needs to evaluate each company individually, and determine if the success of the past can be replicated. In addition, readers need to be aware that there are limitations to screening, due to one-time accounting events that may result in companies being included or excluded.
Full Disclosure: Long AFL, EV, GPC, GWW, JNJ, TGT, TROW
Relevant Articles:
- Dividend Champions - The Best List for Dividend Investors
- The ten year dividend growth requirement
- How to value dividend stocks
- The most important metric for dividend investing
- What drives future investment returns?
